Foresight - Conflict in Ukraine | Focillon Humane ClubMade with Humane Club

Foresight - Conflict in Ukraine

Published Feb 15, 2022
Updated Mar 14, 2023

January 2022 - Focillon was asked the following recently: will the war in Ukraine happen? Will Russian forces invade? The team leaned towards "very likely" in January 2022 after considering cost/benefit ratios, geopolitical dynamics and Kremlin mentalities...

We were not pleased to be right.

Ukraine/Russia overview matrix